Will Nate Silver win the third contest? Manifold will decide the answer. Manifold will decide the best funniest answer,
7
Ṁ490Ṁ537resolved Jan 1
Resolved
N/ABret Taylor / Yes
Resolved
N/ALarry Summers / No
Resolved
N/AAdam D'Angelo / Maybe
Resolved
N/AAli Ghodsi (Databricks CEO) / Meme
Resolved
N/ANat Friedman / Agency / .org / Maybe? / Politics, Nate Silver Dark Brandon Average Joe
Resolved
N/AAlexandr Wang (Scale AI CEO) / Recursion
Resolved
N/ADario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) / Mystery / Mysterious / Might win but won't win, for now.
Resolved
N/ASam Altman / Not SBF / Probably good / definitely right / rich / sf / cool / gay / black / tenor / sax
Resolved
N/ABarack Obama
Resolved
N/AClaudine Gay
Note: If someone is officially sworn into a board position according to media reports and serves on the board for at least one Scaramucci (10 days), but is not on the board as of 2024-12-31, noon Pacific, I will resolve them at 50%.
Anyone on the board less than 10 days gets 0%, anyone on the board on 2024-12-31 (regardless of duration served) gets 100%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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