Will Nate Silver win the third contest? Manifold will decide the answer. Manifold will decide the best funniest answer, | Manifold

Will Nate Silver win the third contest? Manifold will decide the answer. Manifold will decide the best funniest answer,

Basic

7

Ṁ537

Jan 1

84%

Bret Taylor / Yes

66%

Larry Summers / No

50%

Adam D'Angelo / Maybe

34%

Ali Ghodsi (Databricks CEO) / Meme

34%

Nat Friedman / Agency / .org / Maybe? / Politics, Nate Silver Dark Brandon Average Joe

34%

Alexandr Wang (Scale AI CEO) / Recursion

27%

Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) / Mystery / Mysterious / Might win but won't win, for now.

20%

Sam Altman / Not SBF / Probably good / definitely right / rich / sf / cool / gay / black / tenor / sax

5%

Barack Obama

3%

Claudine Gay

Note: If someone is officially sworn into a board position according to media reports and serves on the board for at least one Scaramucci (10 days), but is not on the board as of 2024-12-31, noon Pacific, I will resolve them at 50%.

Anyone on the board less than 10 days gets 0%, anyone on the board on 2024-12-31 (regardless of duration served) gets 100%.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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