Will Myanmar's junta be overthrown by the end of 2024?
56
1kṀ16kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve YES if the junta loses control of 2 of the 3 largest cities.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ555 | |
2 | Ṁ311 | |
3 | Ṁ223 | |
4 | Ṁ192 | |
5 | Ṁ154 |
People are also trading
Will internal armed conflict in Myanmar end before 2030?
74% chance
What will The Economist Democracy Index of Myanmar be in 2025?
At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?
Will there be another coup in Thailand by 2030?
62% chance
Will China intervene militarily in Myanmar before 2030?
21% chance
Sort by:
According to this map (not sure what's the source behind), the opposition armed groups now control abut half of the country after the start of Operation 1027: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Myanmar_Civil_War_(2021-present)_after_Operation_1027.png
@adssx Certainly possible this will translate into loss of major cities, but well over 50% of the population is still governed by the Tatmadaw.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will internal armed conflict in Myanmar end before 2030?
74% chance
What will The Economist Democracy Index of Myanmar be in 2025?
At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?
Will there be another coup in Thailand by 2030?
62% chance
Will China intervene militarily in Myanmar before 2030?
21% chance