Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by December 31, 2026?
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Ṁ100Dec 31
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This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo, Kachin State's second largest city, by December 31, 2026.
YES if by December 31, 2026:
MOC-21 captured or surrendered
Bhamo Airport under KIA control
No organized junta battalion resistance in city
KIA administering civilian affairs
NO if:
Bhamo remains contested or under junta control on December 31, 2026
Resolution sources (priority order):
The Irrawaddy (irrawaddy.com)
Myanmar Now (myanmar-now.org)
DVB English (english.dvb.no)
KIA official statements (Colonel Naw Bu)
Myanmar Peace Monitor (mmpeacemonitor.org)
ISP-Myanmar conflict analysis (ispmyanmar.com)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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