This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2028.

YES if by December 31, 2028:

• Northern Command HQ captured or surrendered

• Myitkyina Air Base under KIA control

• No organized junta battalion resistance

• KIA administering civilian affairs

NO if:

• Myitkyina remains under junta control on December 31, 2028

Resolution sources (priority order):

1. The Irrawaddy (irrawaddy.com)

2. Myanmar Now (myanmar-now.org)

3. DVB English (english.dvb.no)

4. KIA official statements

5. ISP-Myanmar (ispmyanmar.com)