Gary Marcus 2024 predictions
Basic
38
Ṁ2.5k2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
93%
No robust solution to hallucinations
86%
Modest lasting corporate adoption
74%
Price wars
59%
Very little moat for anyone
59%
7-10 GPT-4 level models
59%
Modest profits, split 7-10 ways
46%
No massive advance (no GPT-5, or disappointing GPT-5)
Gary Marcus made this tweet https://x.com/garymarcus/status/1766871625075409381?s=46&t=B66Otgh2q0Cl91N3A5P9ZA
with 7 predictions on LLMs this market will track them and their outcomes. I will not trade on this market. Some will be pretty subjective I will do my best to find a consensus resolution but may well end up resolving them N/A if it is not clear.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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