Will Gary Marcus be accurate on at least 50% of his predictions on AI in 2029?

Gary Marcus 2026 AI Predictions

Will Gary Marcus claim to have a P(doom) of at or higher than 10% at some point before 2027?

Gary Marcus 2029 AI predications

In 2026, will the largest AI-based commercial forecasting system (by revenue) have a platform-wide Brier score <0.1?

Will Gary Marcus state that AGI has been achieved before 2030?

In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors?

What will be the best GSOBench score by Dec 31, 2026?

In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors?

Will Gary Marcus' legs be turned into paperclips (or similarly affected by AI) before he predicts AGI within 2.5 years?