
Will Javier Milei have an approval rating bigger than 40% at the end of March 2024?
37
785Ṁ2434resolved Apr 4
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if approval polls around the end of March seem to suggest that Milei has a positive approval rating greater than 40%.
Positive is interpreted to include options like “Good” and “Very Good” but not “Leaning positive” or “Regular to positive”.
I’ll prefer polls with better methodology when judging and try to only include those that refer to the image of Milei itself, but I might use polls asking for an evaluation of his government if information is lacking.
A recent after-election poll suggested this is currently ~53% (Aresco Poll, Dec 15th 2023).
I won’t be betting on this market.
The market was inspired by this tweet: https://x.com/trueslazac/status/1736183983841456248?s=46
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ238 | |
2 | Ṁ59 | |
3 | Ṁ42 | |
4 | Ṁ18 | |
5 | Ṁ17 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Javier Milei get inflation below 30% by the end of his term?
90% chance
Will Javier Milei be re-elected?
73% chance
Will javier milei successfully get impeached before 2025 ends
2% chance
Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president?
95% chance
Will Manifold's Approval Ratings end the year over 50%? (Poll Index version)
55% chance
Will an assassination attempt be made against Javier Milei before 2026?
24% chance
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentinian presidential election?
69% chance
Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027?
41% chance
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
75% chance
Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?