Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president?
Plus
13
Ṁ8232027
95%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As it says, I mean literally survive - if he's removed from office but remains alive until the date this resolves YES. If he dies before his term begins, this resolves NO.
His term ends 10 December 2027 according to wikipedia. This market closes the day before that, with my intent being to resolve the day after.
I can't think of any other semi-ambiguous resolution possibilities, but if one comes up I'll outline what I think. I do not plan to bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
65% chance
Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?
75% chance
Will Javier Milei be re-elected?
67% chance
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentinian presidential election?
60% chance
Javier Milei - Argentina's president - First Term Mega-market
Will the italian government last for the entire term of office?
23% chance
Will Javier Milei die before 2025?
3% chance
Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
Will Javier Milei continue to be president of Argentina through 2024?
93% chance
Will Javier Milei get inflation below 30% by the end of his term?
86% chance