Background

Claudia Sheinbaum began her presidency with strong approval ratings of around 78-80% in her first few months. She is Mexico's first female president and a member of the MORENA party, continuing many policies of her predecessor, Andrés Manuel López Obrador. Key challenges facing her administration include security concerns, economic inequality, and corruption.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on credible polling data showing Sheinbaum's approval rating at the end of May 2030. The market will resolve YES if more people approve than disapprove of her performance (net positive rating), and NO if more people disapprove than approve (net negative rating).

If multiple polls are available, an average of major polling organizations will be used. The market will resolve N/A if:

• Sheinbaum is no longer president at the time

• No reliable polling data is available

• Polls are deemed to be compromised or manipulated