Will three or more Frontier AI Labs issue a joint statement committing to constrain their AI's capabilities before 2026?

Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?

Will a global AI watchdog be set up in London, modelled on the International Atomic Energy Agency, by Jan 1 2026?

Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2026?

Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?

Will there be a war over AI before 2035?

What will the results of this poll be in 2028? Has AI been overregulated?

Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?

Will Anthropic, before 2035, completely halt development of AI and attempt to persuade other organizations to do so?

[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?