Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
9
1kṀ685
2027
37%
chance

Resolves Yes if there is a California ballot measure that refers to Artificial Intelligence in the short description that is printed on the ballot.

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extended to jan 2027

bought Ṁ100 NO

According to this Carnegie Endowment article there are at least two proposed initiatives in the works (one from OpenAI, one from Common Sense Media), but historically only about 19% of all proposed initiatives actually appear on the ballot. If there's a third or fourth proposal in the works I'd probably bet this market up a lot higher

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