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MANIFOLD
Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?
17
Ṁ100Ṁ451
2028
92%
chance

For this market, "world leader" is defined as any head of government or head of state of any country which has a population of at least five million people. Will any such major world leader call for a global pause on AI development/progress before the end of 2027? The pause would not need to be absolute to qualify, but a pause on certain use cases (eg, weaponry or surveillance) would not suffice.

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AI
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AI Governance & Policy
Existential Risk
Global AI pause
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