Will the EU-Mercosur Free Trade Agreement be applied in 2026, even if provisionally?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ786Dec 31
65%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It resolves positively if, according to credible media, the European Union - Mercosur/Mercosul free trade agreement goes into effect before 2027.
This is motivated by news such as this: https://www.dw.com/en/eu-to-provisionally-implement-controversial-mercosur-deal/a-76148877
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026?
19% chance
[ACX 2026] How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?
14.0
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
99% chance
¿El tratado de comercio T-MEC (USMCA) será sustituido con un tratado bilateral entre EE.UU. y México en 2026?
21% chance
Will Brazil join NATO by the end of 2026?
3% chance
USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?
27% chance
Will any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?
80% chance
Will the Uk join the EU Single Market by the end of 2026 or negotiate an arrangement that mirrors the Single Market
17% chance
Will Brazil join China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) until the end of 2027?
35% chance
Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?
36% chance