No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
12
90Ṁ2481Dec 31
99%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
(In this exact year span)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
NO folks, please fill my limit orders and give me free mana. Maybe you've read that Montenegro closed a few negotiating chapters in December. However, there is literally not enough time to close the remaining 21 chapters, do the dance of recommendations and approvals between the Council and the Commission, sign the accession treaty, all 27 current members to ratify it, Montenegro to hold a referendum and then ratify, all of this while breaking the strong precedent that accessions usually happen on January 1.
People are also trading
Related questions
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2027
87% chance
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2028
72% chance
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2029
69% chance
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2020s (2020-2029)
20% chance
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2030
63% chance
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in the 2030s
16% chance
Will any new countries join the EU before 2030?
63% chance
Which countries will be members of NATO at the end of 2026?
No country leaves the European Union (EU) in the 2030s
70% chance
Next country to join the European Union:
