Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book be a NYT bestseller in 2025? under various conditions
7
1kṀ652Dec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
66%
Book cover is changed
64%
Book cover is not changed
Each question will resolve:
- YES or NO: if the event in the question's title happens by the end of 2025, resolves the same way as Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025?
- N/A if the event in the question's title doesn't happen by the end of 2025, or Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025? resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025?
68% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
92% chance
Yudkowsky & Soares change the book cover | The book is a NYT bestseller
How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide?
550k
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
58% chance
Who will endorse Yudkowsky and Soares' book?
How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide? (Compressed range)
220k
Will I gain any significant insight from reading Eliezer Yudkowsky's new book?
22% chance
How many pre-orders will Yudkowsky and Soares' book receive?
13,808
How many pre-orders will Yudkowsky and Soares' book receive? (Threshold)
16,399