Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book be a NYT bestseller in 2025? under various conditions
18
Ṁ1kṀ5.5kresolved Oct 1
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
YESBook cover is not changed
Resolved
N/ABook cover is changed
Each question will resolve:
- YES or NO: if the event in the question's title happens by the end of 2025, resolves the same way as Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025?
- N/A if the event in the question's title doesn't happen by the end of 2025, or Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025? resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ175 | |
| 2 | Ṁ122 | |
| 3 | Ṁ121 | |
| 4 | Ṁ58 | |
| 5 | Ṁ19 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
96% chance
Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?
8% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
7% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
20% chance
Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?
45% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
25% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?
4% chance
In which year will an AI written book first achieve bestseller status?
2033
When will the first AI-generated book be on the New York Times Best Seller list?
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be Time person of the year before 2100?
14% chance