
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?
37
1kṀ23932043
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Person of the Year (called Man of the Year or Woman of the Year until 1999) is an annual issue of the United States news magazine and website Time featuring a person, a group, an idea, or an object that "for better or for worse ... has done the most to influence the events of the year".
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_Person_of_the_Year
This market resolves to YES if Eliezer wins the prize at or before the 2042 edition.
Other markets
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?
6% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win any of these awards or prizes before 2040?
35% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?
4% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?
10% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
42% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
3% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
8% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2025?
58% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
19% chance