Which states will enact (further) mid-decade redistricting prior to the 2030 redistricting?
5
400Ṁ2532030
85%
Ohio
84%
Texas
80%
California
67%
New York
66%
Wisconsin
59%
Missouri
50%
Utah
50%
Minnesota
34%
Washington
34%
Florida
34%
South Carolina
34%
Illinois
34%
New Jersey
34%
Colorado
34%
Maryland
34%
Georgia
"Mid-decade redistricting" refers here to any change in US House district boundaries not conducted as part of the regular once-a-decade redistricting process that occurred in 2020.
This includes court-mandated redistricting and other changes to district borders, not exclusively partisan gerrymandering.
This does not include any mid-decade redistricting that has already taken place as of 7/25/25.
This only includes redistricting efforts that are completed prior to the 2030 once-a-decade redistricting process.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which party will control the US senate after the 2030 midterm elections?
Will there be multiple new US states by the end of 2030?
10% chance
Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?
17% chance
How many states will the United States have in 2030
Will any US state or DC use proportional representation for their state legislatures by the end of 2028?
23% chance
Will any US places successfully change states by 2030?
14% chance
Will the United States have a number of states other than 50 before 2030?
11% chance
Will any US state secede before 2030?
10% chance
Will there be a state introduced or removed from the union by 2030?
16% chance
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034?
27% chance