Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
US state adopts shortest splitline algorithm for redistricting before 2030?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ258
2029
16%
chance

  • Update 2025-11-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Any state with >1 districts counts for resolution purposes.

U.S. Congress
US Senate
United States
US Legislature
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Any state with >1 districts counts

People are also trading

will maryland redistrict by the end of 2026?
6% chance
Which states will enact (further) mid-decade redistricting prior to the 2030 redistricting?
Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?
45% chance
Will any states split themselves into smaller pieces by 2028?
12% chance
Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?
16% chance
Will any US state or DC use proportional representation for their state legislatures by the end of 2028?
23% chance
Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2040?
32% chance
Will sortition be used as an alternative to elections for any administrative division of EU/US government before 2060?
77% chance
By what year will one of the United States of America elect all its US Representatives proportionally?
Will any US state secede before 2030?
8% chance