Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?
26
Ṁ1kṀ12kDec 31
98%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A federal district court recently ruled that Texas could not use its 2025 map for the 2026 midterms:
https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/18/politics/texas-redistricting-trump-court-ruling
This question resolves YES if and only if the 2025 map, as enacted by the legislature in August, is actually used for the 2026 midterms (e.g. if the district court's decision is overturned on appeal).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Texas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
66% chance
Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?
19% chance
Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?
71% chance
Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms?
5% chance
How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?
Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?
Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?
19% chance
Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?
96% chance
Will the Republican Party win a majority of the five gerrymandered districts in Texas during the 2026 Midterms?
49% chance