Will an AI agent cause a plane crash in 2026?
8
Ṁ1kṀ3.1kDec 30
6%
chance
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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if an AI agent, or a group of AI agents, is responsible for an aeroplane crash or collision causing at least one fatality in 2026.
This market will otherwise resolve NO.
Clarifications
If agentic AI is suspected of causing a plane crash in 2026, this market may remain open until the cause is conclusively determined. Otherwise, this market will resolve at the end of 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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