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MANIFOLD
Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election?
2
Ṁ425Ṁ104
2028
76%
Bob Katter
50%
Adam Bandt
50%
Peter Dutton
50%
Jacinta Nampijinpa Price
50%
Fatima Payman
50%
Lidia Thorpe
50%
Zoe Daniel
50%
Bridget Archer
50%
Amelia Hamer
50%
Gisele Kapterian
45%
Penny Wong
40%
Max Chandler-Mather
40%
Josh Frydenberg
37%
Ben Roberts-Smith
25%
Stan Grant
24%
Pauline Hanson
20%
Nick Coatsworth

Resolution criteria

Each option in this market will resolve YES if the person in question nominates as a candidate at the next general election for the Australian House of Representatives.

Each option in this market will otherwise resolve NO.

Clarifications

The close date is subject to change.

The resolution of this market will be informed by the Australian Electoral Commission.

As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may trade in this market.

Market context
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