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MANIFOLD
Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election?
4
Ṁ425Ṁ391
2028
92%
Bob Katter
80%
Zoe Daniel
50%
Adam Bandt
50%
Jacinta Nampijinpa Price
50%
Bridget Archer
50%
Amelia Hamer
50%
Gisele Kapterian
45%
Penny Wong
40%
Max Chandler-Mather
40%
Josh Frydenberg
37%
Ben Roberts-Smith
27%
Pauline Hanson
25%
Stan Grant
20%
Fatima Payman
20%
Lidia Thorpe
20%
Nick Coatsworth
10%
Peter Dutton

Resolution criteria

Each option in this market will resolve YES if the person in question nominates as a candidate at the next general election for the Australian House of Representatives.

Each option in this market will otherwise resolve NO.

Clarifications

The close date is subject to change.

The resolution of this market will be informed by the Australian Electoral Commission.

As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may trade in this market.

Politics
Elections
Elections: World
Australia
Australian Politics
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