Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election?
2
Ṁ425Ṁ1042028
76%
Bob Katter
50%
Adam Bandt
50%
Peter Dutton
50%
Jacinta Nampijinpa Price
50%
Fatima Payman
50%
Lidia Thorpe
50%
Zoe Daniel
50%
Bridget Archer
50%
Amelia Hamer
50%
Gisele Kapterian
45%
Penny Wong
40%
Max Chandler-Mather
40%
Josh Frydenberg
37%
Ben Roberts-Smith
25%
Stan Grant
24%
Pauline Hanson
20%
Nick Coatsworth
Resolution criteria
Each option in this market will resolve YES if the person in question nominates as a candidate at the next general election for the Australian House of Representatives.
Each option in this market will otherwise resolve NO.
Clarifications
The close date is subject to change.
The resolution of this market will be informed by the Australian Electoral Commission.
As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?
Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election?
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
68% chance
Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election
Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?
20% chance
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
66% chance
Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labor Party?
Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labour Party?
Next non-Labor Prime Minister of Australia
Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?
59% chance