Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?
1
100Ṁ23
2028
66%
Chris Bowen
57%
Peter Khalil
50%
Tim Wilson
50%
Monique Ryan

Resolution criteria

An option will resolve YES if the person named is reëlected to the House of Representatives, in any division, at the next general election for the House of Representatives in Australia.

An option will resolve NO in all other cases, including if the person named does not seek reëlection or is elected to the Senate.

Resolution procedure

An option may resolve NO before the next general election if the person named dies or fails to nominate for election.

An option may resolve YES or NO after 6:00pm (Canberra time) on the day of the general election if the result can be projected with more than 99% confidence. Preferred sources of information and analysis are the Australian Electoral Commission and The Poll Bludger respectively.

Further information

As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may bet in this market.

More options will be added as the election draws nearer.

Politics
Elections
Elections: World
Australian Politics
Australia
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