When will Russia capture Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk)?
2
100Ṁ18
2026
December 23, 2025
31%
By the end of September 2025
50%
By the end of November 2025
50%
By the end of January 2026
55%
By the end of March 2026

Resolution criteria

An option will resolve YES if, at any time before the stated deadline, the Russian Armed Forces are known to control the entire area bordered by the E50, T0504 and T0515 highways in the city of Pokrovsk, Donetsk Oblast (also known as Krasnoarmeysk).

Each option will otherwise resolve NO once the deadline passes.

Any YES resolution must be supported by at least three of the following four sources:

This requirement may only be amended if one of the sources ceases to update regularly, and it may only be waived in exceptional circumstances where Russian control of the area is beyond doubt.

Interpretation principles

  • The resolution criteria will be interpreted in accordance with their apparent meaning, without regard to any intention of the market creator that is not evident in the text.

  • No clause, sentence or word in the resolution criteria will be considered superfluous, void or insignificant if by any other interpretation they may all be made useful and pertinent.

Clarifications

I will not trade in this market.

The precise deadline for each option is 21:00:00 UTC on the final day of the stated month.

The area described in the resolution criteria is shaded red in the map below:

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