Net territory gained by Russia in September 2025 – over/under 500km²

1kṀ837

Sep 30

Under 500km²67%

ALL

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve OVER if Russia's net territorial gain in the Russia-Ukraine conflict amounts to more than 500 square kilometres in September 2025 according to the resolution sources.

This market will resolve UNDER if Russia's net territorial gain in the Russia-Ukraine conflict amounts to less than 500 square kilometres in September 2025 according to the resolution sources.

This market will resolve 50/50 if Russia's net territorial gain in the Russia-Ukraine conflict rounds to exactly 500 square kilometres in September 2025 according to the resolution sources.

This market will be voided if the market creator determines that methodological inconsistencies between the resolution sources would affect the resolution.

Resolution sources

The resolution of this market will be based on the median estimate provided by the following seven sources:

Should one, two or three of the resolution sources fail to provide a usable estimate within four days of the market closing, the median of the available estimates will be used.

Should four or more of the resolution sources fail to provide a usable estimate within seven days of the market closing, the market will be voided.

Interpretation principles

The resolution criteria will be interpreted in accordance with their apparent meaning, without regard to any intention of the market creator that is not evident in the text.
No clause, sentence or word in the resolution criteria will be considered superfluous, void or insignificant if by any other interpretation they may all be made useful and pertinent.