Net territory gained by Russia in 2025 (in square kilometres)
0
1k
Dec 31
5500
expected

Resolution criteria

This market concerns Russia's net territorial gain (in square kilometres) in the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2025. It will resolve to the median estimate obtained from the following five sources:

Should one or more of the resolution sources fail to provide necessary data within seven days of the market closing, the median of the available estimates will be used.

Interpretation principles

  • The resolution criteria will be interpreted in accordance with their apparent meaning, without regard to any intention of the market creator that is not evident in the text.

  • No clause, sentence or word in the resolution criteria will be considered superfluous, void or insignificant if by any other interpretation they may all be made useful and pertinent.

Clarifications

Gains and losses in the Kursk and Belgorod regions are included in this market.

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