Will a dirty bomb be used by 2030?
16
1kṀ6962030
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As determined by reports from multiple reputable news outlets.
A dirty bomb or radiological dispersal device is a radiological weapon that combines radioactive material with conventional explosives. The purpose of the weapon is to contaminate the area around the dispersal agent/conventional explosion with radioactive material, serving primarily as an area denial device against civilians. It is not to be confused with a nuclear explosion, such as a fission bomb, which produces blast effects far in excess of what is achievable by the use of conventional explosives.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will WMDs be used for an attack on the U.S. by 2036?
32% chance
Will a dirty bomb be used in an attack before 2028?
13% chance
Will there be a credible threat of a dirty bomb being detonated by 2028?
32% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?
15% chance
Will a nuke nuke a nuke by 2030?
17% chance
Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?
19% chance
Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?
26% chance
Will a nuclear bomb be used in a terrorist attack before 2035?
21% chance
Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?
12% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be used militarily by the end of 2033?
9% chance