Will China's population drop in 2024?
21
135
390
2025
95%
chance

i.e. If the population at the end of 2024 in China is less than the population at the end of 2023.

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If 'China' grows in some way, to include say Taiwan, by the end of 2024. Would that population be counted?

@Fedor Yes - Taiwan, if mostly accepted as a part of China, would count towards population of China