Will the birth rate in Singapore be at least 3% higher in 2025 than in 2023?
40
1kṀ1891
2026
25%
chance

Singapore is increasing its baby bonus by S$3000 (about USD$2250). Will this substantially increase birth rates (source: https://twitter.com/business/status/1625678541692993536)? (Also see: https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-singapores-2024-birth-rate-as)

Market is using 2025 instead of 2024 because of worries that 2024 is the Year of the Dragon, which will distort the results, see here for 2024: https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-the-birth-rate-in-singapore-be

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