1
Will Singapore's 2024 birth rate, as a percentage of Hong Kong's 2024 birth rate, increase by at least 3% versus the same comparison in 2023?
12
closes 2024
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Singapore will add ~$2250 USD to its baby bonus in 2024. To control for other factors, I am asking the same question as in (https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-the-birth-rate-in-singapore-be) except relative to Hong Kong, which seems like a reasonable control group.
Sort by:
6 YES payouts
Ṁ21
Ṁ20
Ṁ11
Related markets
Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?72%
By the end of 2045, will it be possible for someone born biologically male to get pregnant and have children normally?33%
Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?62%
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?44%
Will over 10,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?69%
Related markets
Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?72%
By the end of 2045, will it be possible for someone born biologically male to get pregnant and have children normally?33%
Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?62%
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?44%
Will over 10,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?69%