Will Singapore's 2024 birth rate, as a percentage of Hong Kong's 2024 birth rate, increase by at least 3% versus the same comparison in 2023?
16
324
Dec 31
60%
chance

Singapore will add ~$2250 USD to its baby bonus in 2024. To control for other factors, I am asking the same question as in (https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-the-birth-rate-in-singapore-be) except relative to Hong Kong, which seems like a reasonable control group.

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