How many live births will China report having in 2025?
6
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96%
More than 6 million
87%
More than 7 million
74%
More than 8 million
67%
More than 8.5 million
63%
More than 8.7 million
45%
More than 8.8 million
41%
More than 8.9 million
28%
More than 9.02 million (the number of births China had in 2023)
28%
More than 9.2 million
28%
More than 9.4 million
24%
More than 9.56 million (the number of births China had in 2022)
14%
More than 10 million
10%
More than 10.62 million (the number of births China had in 2021)
This question will resolve based on figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China.
This number excludes "residents of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, and foreigners living in the 31 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Marriage data from 2024 [6.1M] is interesting https://www.cfr.org/blog/marriages-china-crash-portending-deeper-demographic-woes
"The sharp one-year decline partially reflects unusual circumstances in 2023. Many couples accelerated marriage plans into 2023 in order to ensure their child would be born in 2024: the year of the dragon, an auspicious year for childbirth in Chinese culture. This produced both an artificial increase in 2023 marriages [7.68M] as well as 2024 births" [9.54]
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