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How many live births will China report having in 2025?
8
Ṁ130Ṁ916
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
YES
More than 6 million
Resolved
YES
More than 7 million
Resolved
NO
More than 8 million
Resolved
NO
More than 8.5 million
Resolved
NO
More than 8.7 million
Resolved
NO
More than 8.8 million
Resolved
NO
More than 8.9 million
Resolved
NO
More than 9.02 million (the number of births China had in 2023)
Resolved
NO
More than 9.2 million
Resolved
NO
More than 9.4 million
Resolved
NO
More than 9.56 million (the number of births China had in 2022)
Resolved
NO
More than 10 million
Resolved
NO
More than 10.62 million (the number of births China had in 2021)

This question will resolve based on figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China.

This number excludes "residents of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, and foreigners living in the 31 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities."

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opened a Ṁ250 YES at 98% order

@adonisds @mods This can resolve according to the link

filled a Ṁ1 NO at 82% order

Marriage data from 2024 [6.1M] is interesting https://www.cfr.org/blog/marriages-china-crash-portending-deeper-demographic-woes
"The sharp one-year decline partially reflects unusual circumstances in 2023. Many couples accelerated marriage plans into 2023 in order to ensure their child would be born in 2024: the year of the dragon, an auspicious year for childbirth in Chinese culture. This produced both an artificial increase in 2023 marriages [7.68M] as well as 2024 births" [9.54]

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