The 2023 Annual State of AI Report from Air Street Capital (https://www.stateof.ai/) offers the following prediction for the next 12 months:
"A generative Al media company is investigated for its misuse during in the 2024 US election circuit."
This resolves to YES if the 2024 State of AI Report says this prediction was true.
This resolves to NO if the 2024 State of AI Report says this prediction was false.
This resolves to N/A if the report marks this as ambiguous.
I will resolve this early if the market is >95% or <5%, and I agree that the answer is sufficiently clear.
I would interpret investigation here as a government investigation, but I will grade based on the evaluation of the 2024 report if one is issued by EOY (with right to overrule if and only if I decide their resolution was completely unreasonable).
1,000
3.00@MemeMan If I was forced to grade this I would assume this meant 'a media company investigated for its use of GenAI' but I was copying their exact wording.