In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2020 US presidential election? [$10k Liquid]
21
88
Ṁ2.3KṀ390
2041
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Definite criteria are difficult, but enough votes to flip a close swing state within that state would resolve this YES. Either party counts. Resolves to the judgement of whatever system Manifold uses to judge complicated resolutions, or my judgement if nobody who bet disagrees.
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