When will "Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI" reach 100%?
6
175Ṁ2712027
12%
By October 1st 2025
13%
By the end of 2025
24%
By April 1st 2026
39%
By July 1st 2026
46%
By October 1st 2026
50%
By the end of 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2030?
50% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
37% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
6% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
56% chance
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Sam Altman right about AGI by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2030?
49% chance
By when will we have AGI?
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2028?
27% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
49% chance