When will "Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI" reach 100%? | Manifold

When will "Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI" reach 100%?

7

Ṁ175Ṁ400

Jan 1

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

46%

By the end of 2026

Right now it's at 99%. (as of October 2026)

You can follow it here:

https://lifearchitect.ai/agi/

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2032?

Will we get AGI before September 15th 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

By when will we have AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

In what year will we achieve AGI?

Sort by:

September 2026 - 99%

August 2026 - 98%

January 2026 update - 97%

April 2025 update: 94%

opened a Ṁ20 NO at 50% order

It will approach 100% asymptotically

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2032?

+4% 1d63% chance

Will we get AGI before September 15th 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

-3% 1d46% chance

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

By when will we have AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

In what year will we achieve AGI?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2032?

Will we get AGI before September 15th 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

By when will we have AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

In what year will we achieve AGI?