When will "Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI" reach 100%? | Manifold

When will "Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI" reach 100%?

6

Ṁ175Ṁ371

2027

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

10%

By April 1st 2026

14%

By July 1st 2026

31%

By October 1st 2026

34%

By the end of 2026

Right now it's at 97%. (as of January 2026)

You can follow it here:

https://lifearchitect.ai/agi/

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

January 2026 update - 97%

April 2025 update: 94%

opened a Ṁ20 NO at 50% order

It will approach 100% asymptotically

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2038?

Will we get AGI before 2039?

Alan’s Conservative AGI countdown reaches 100% before August 1 2026

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2034?

By when will we have AGI?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2038?

Will we get AGI before 2039?

Alan’s Conservative AGI countdown reaches 100% before August 1 2026

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2034?

By when will we have AGI?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy