When will "Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI" reach 100%? | Manifold

When will "Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI" reach 100%?

6

Ṁ175Ṁ371

2027

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

10%

By April 1st 2026

14%

By July 1st 2026

31%

By October 1st 2026

34%

By the end of 2026

Right now it's at 97%. (as of January 2026)

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https://lifearchitect.ai/agi/

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January 2026 update - 97%

April 2025 update: 94%

opened a Ṁ20 NO at 50% order

It will approach 100% asymptotically

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