When will "Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI" reach 100%?
5
175Ṁ2012027
7%
By July 1st 2025
16%
By October 1st 2025
18%
By the end of 2025
24%
By April 1st 2026
39%
By July 1st 2026
46%
By October 1st 2026
50%
By the end of 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2027?
17% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
65% chance
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Sam Altman right about AGI by end of 2025?
19% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2025?
4% chance
By when will we have AGI?
In what year will we achieve AGI?
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2031?
70% chance
Will we get AGI before 2039?
78% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2030?
65% chance