I will resolve this market using the Box Office Mojo page for "Napoleon" (2023): https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt13287846/?ref_=bo_se_r_1. Specifically, the "Domestic" number listed under "All Releases". [1]
If this listed gross passes $90 million before January 1st 2024, the market resolves "YES". If the listed gross on January 1st 2024 is less than $90,000,000, I will resolve the market "NO". In either case, I may wait for a few days to ensure that the grosses are official (and not just estimates).
I may choose to trade in my own markets if they have clear, objective resolution criteria (like this one). Please let me know if any aspects of the resolution are unclear.
[1] For an example of which number I'll cite, as of the date of this writing, the comparable domestic total for Godzilla vs. Kong (2021) is "$100,916,094".
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ116 | |
| 2 | Ṁ69 | |
| 3 | Ṁ66 | |
| 4 | Ṁ51 | |
| 5 | Ṁ34 |
Currently, the estimated cumulative domestic gross up through Dec 31st is ~60.5M. While these last few days are technically estimates (on BoxOfficeMojo), given theatrical capacity constraints it would be impossible for Napoleon to gross anywhere near the tens of millions required to get anywhere near 90M domestic. So I'll resolve this a tiny bit early to free up liquidity for folks at the end of the year.
(TLDR: Resolving "NO", the final total will be fairly close to 60.5M, which is very very far away from 90M).
