What will be the ranking of the top 5 young movie stars in The Big Picture's next “35 Under 35”? (Resolves to %)
50
2.2kṀ11k
resolved May 2
Resolved
99.0%
Margot Robbie
Resolved
80%
Timothee Chalamet
Resolved
60%
Zendaya
Resolved
40%
Austin Butler
Resolved
20%
Jennifer Lawrence
Resolved
NO
Florence Pugh
Resolved
NO
Anya Taylor Joy
Resolved
NO
Sydney Sweeney
Resolved
NO
Tom Holland
Resolved
NO
Jenna Ortega
Resolved
NO
Paul Mescal
Resolved
NO
Saoirse Ronan

Resolution

  • The #1 ranked movie star resolves to 100%.

  • The #2 ranked movie star resolves to 80%.

  • The #3 ranked movie star resolves to 60%.

  • The #4 ranked movie star resolves to 40%.

  • The #5 ranked movie star resolves to 20%.

  • All other movie stars resolve to 0%.

Context

"The Big Picture" podcast publishes an annual ranking of the young movie stars in Hollywood, titled "35 Under 35". The criteria are obviously subjective, but they define it as roughly:

  • 50% what you've done so far

  • 25% what you’re doing next

  • 25% what you could be

You need to be under the age of 35 to be eligible for the ranking, and this is a movie podcast so the focus is largely on their work within films, not TV.

Here are the top 8 from previous years:

2022

  • 1. Margot Robbie

  • 2. Timothee Chalamet

  • 3. Daniel Kaluuya [now 35]

  • 4. Zendaya

  • 5. Tom Holland

  • 6. Florence Pugh

  • 7. Emma Stone [now 35]

  • 8. Anya Taylor Joy

2021

  • 1. Timothee Chalamet

  • 2. Margot Robbie

  • 3. Daniel Kaluuya [now 35]

  • 4. Tom Holland

  • 5. Anya Taylor Joy

  • 6. Emma Stone [now 35]

  • 7. Florence Pugh

  • 8. Zendaya

2020

  • 1. Emma Stone [now 35]

  • 2. Timothee Chalamet

  • 3. Margot Robbie

  • 4. Daniel Kaluuya [now 35]

  • 5. Florence Pugh

  • 6. Robert Pattinson [now 37]

  • 7. Saoirse Ronan

  • 8. Tom Holland

Details

  • As you can see, it's not an exactly "annual" ranking (there wasn't one posted in 2023, as far as I know).

  • But they have mentioned that the next update is planned for ~April, so this shouldn't take too long.

  • This market resolves based on the next ranking posted within 2024. If none is posted by the end of 2024, it resolves N/A.

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