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MANIFOLD
Trump announces official change in US policy towards Falkland Islands before 2027?
2
Ṁ1kṀ168
Dec 31
22%
chance

Context: https://bbc.com/news/articles/c1kx4m70l4yo. Trump has said he is reviewing the current US policy.

General threats are not sufficient for a YES resolution. Trump needs to make a statement indicating a reasonably specific change in official policy for YES. I will consider primarily how news outlets cover this (I.e., if they describe it as a plausibly official change in policy).

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