Conditional on there being a US recession in 2024, will Q3 2024 have negative gdp growth?
Basic
4
Ṁ1111
2026
1.1%
chance

Will close when the following market closes.

Will return yes if the BEA Q3 2024 final estimate is below 0.0% and the NBER dates a recession to have begun in 2024. Will return no if the BEA Q3 2024 final estimate is 0.0% or above and the NBER dates a recession to have begun in 2024. Will return n/a if the NBER does not date a recession to have begun in 2024.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules