Conditional on there being a US recession in 2024, will Q3 2024 have negative gdp growth?
10
120Ṁ1274Jan 2
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will close when the following market closes.
Will return yes if the BEA Q3 2024 final estimate is below 0.0% and the NBER dates a recession to have begun in 2024. Will return no if the BEA Q3 2024 final estimate is 0.0% or above and the NBER dates a recession to have begun in 2024. Will return n/a if the NBER does not date a recession to have begun in 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
7% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
8% chance
Will the US experience a recession during 2026?
40% chance
Will the US experience a recession during 2027?
16% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by Q2 2026?
30% chance
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
7% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
3% chance
US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)
1% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
10% chance