Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium
Prize Problem before 2035?
99
3.5kṀ10k2035
47%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Millennium Prize Problems are well-known complex mathematical problems selected by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000. The Clay Institute has pledged a US$1 million prize for the first correct solution to each problem.
The AI system must independently solve the Millennium Prize Problem without any human assistance during the solution process. Humans can only set up the AI architecture and train it on publicly available knowledge.
Update 2025-06-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator specifies that human programming of the AI to solve a problem is permitted. The level of human involvement in creating the AI that solved Protein Folding (e.g., AlphaFold) is a valid analogue for what this market allows.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
28% chance
Which Millennium Prize problem will be solved in the year 2025 with the help of AI?
Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?
85% chance
How many years will pass from AI aceing Putnam to a Millenium Prize problem getting solved?
Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
53% chance
Will all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?
75% chance