Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium
Prize Problem before 2035?
99
1kṀ10k2035
46%
chance
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The Millennium Prize Problems are well-known complex mathematical problems selected by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000. The Clay Institute has pledged a US$1 million prize for the first correct solution to each problem.
The AI system must independently solve the Millennium Prize Problem without any human assistance during the solution process. Humans can only set up the AI architecture and train it on publicly available knowledge.
Update 2025-06-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator specifies that human programming of the AI to solve a problem is permitted. The level of human involvement in creating the AI that solved Protein Folding (e.g., AlphaFold) is a valid analogue for what this market allows.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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