Will a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026? | Manifold

Will a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?

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Dec 31

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I (Bayesian) bet the mathematician Elliot Glazer that a Millennium Problem will be solved in 2026 by a non-lab AI-only effort. More details here:

This bet will resolve on the basis of Daniel Litt's judgement.

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definitely possible but i’m not too sure where outside labs there exists sufficient compute…

lol, the holders tab is scary

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