Clarification
The correct answer will resolve to the earliest date. For example if nuclear fusion is built in 2028 then the only correct answer is 2030.
Resolution Criteria
“Yes” Resolution:
The market resolves to Yes if before your selected date, at least one nuclear fusion facility meets these requirements:The facility must demonstrate a net energy gain, producing more electrical energy than the total energy required to sustain and operate the reactor
Is connected to a power grid (so that homes, businesses, or other customers use this electricity).
Maintains a net electrical output of at least 1 megawatt to the grid.
Operates under the above conditions for a sustained period of at least 30 consecutive days.
"Never" Resolution:
Never means that nuclear fusion meeting those requirements was not build. If the date is January 1st, 2061 and the requirements have not been met then the question will resolve to Never.
People are also trading
Some people said this question was not clearly phrased so I created a better question to make it easier to understand.
https://manifold.markets/yaqubali/in-what-year-will-nuclear-fusion-su
The correct answer will resolve to the earliest date. For example if nuclear fusion is built in 2028 then the only correct answer is 2030.
Resolution Criteria
It would be way clearer for the title to be "When will Nuclear Fusion first supply power to an electric grid?" and have the options be dates ranges e.g. "2025-2030", "2031-2035" etc.
@yaqubali I think you have the ability to edit options and the title right? If the resolution criteria remain the same then nobody can reasonably say they were conned