Specifically, will the 6 month total of other revenue sources be equal or greater than the amount generated by people buying mana? (8th Feb 2024 is 6 months from now).
Resolution critieria:
"Other revenue sources" includes anything that can be reasonably claimed to come from the prediction market platform. For instance ads on the public platform would count, as would charging companies to run private groups/instances.
Importantly it does not include revenue from Manifund or other distinct projects, nor does it include external funding (even if external funding becomes the long term revenue model).
The amount of mana sold will be taken from https://manifold.markets/stats, or if this graph has moved/changed by then I will use the most reliable source I can find.
For the other revenue, I will do my best to find the most reliable source.
For both of the above the "most reliable source" will probably involve asking the Manifold team.
The period in question is 2023-08-08 00:00:00 UTC to 2024-02-08T00:00:00 UTC. This only resolves at the end of this period. Even if, for instance, someone from Manifold comes in and says it's already true that revenue from other sources is greater, I will still wait to the closing date to resolve.
This is a do-over of this question, which I decided was too ambiguous:
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน41 | |
| 2 | แน32 | |
| 3 | แน32 | |
| 4 | แน18 | |
| 5 | แน15 |