Roughly extrapolating from the amount of mana that has been donated to charity, I would guess that the amount of money coming in to manifold from people buying mana is quite small. Will manifold change its strategy to try and generate more revenue before the end of 2023?

Examples of things that would count:

• Making manifold real-money or soft-real-money in some way (e.g. mana is redeemable for things other than donations)

• Ads

• Selling market data

• Running private prediction markets for companies

For all of these it should be clear that they are at least trying to make this a main source of revenue, and not just a bit in the side

Examples of things that would not count:

• Essentially the same revenue model, but with a big shift in marketing that makes it much more effective (e.g. popularise EAs giving their 10% via manifold)

  Dec 11, 11:17am: Will manifold significantly change its revenue model before the end of 2023 → Will manifold significantly change its revenue model before the end of 2023?