Has Taylor Swift actually broken up with her boyfriend?
27
379
Ṁ590
resolved May 3
Resolved
YES

As has been reported here for example: https://www.elle.com/culture/celebrities/a43545930/why-taylor-swift-joe-alwyn-broke-up-april-2023/

Resolves as soon as I'm confident of the answer

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ500 of YES

@WilliamHoward resolve?

predicted YES

Where are you at now @WilliamHoward?

predicted YES

More evidence https://people.com/music/why-taylor-swift-joe-alwyn-broke-up-after-six-years-exclusive/

sold Ṁ500 of YES

Wait, does this only resolve YES if she was the person to break up? Or just if they’ve broken up at all

@Conflux If they've broken up at all

bought Ṁ500 of YES

It’s in a lot of reputable news outlets being reported as fact

See also

@Conflux https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2023/04/09/entertainment/taylor-swift-joe-alwyn-break-up/index.html

@Conflux I agree the evidence is reasonably strong... but I'm getting word that some don't believe it

bought Ṁ20 of YES

Yes. I am now dating her.

How does this resolve if you become confident that they've broken up at the time, but you're not confident whether that was the case at market creation?

@IsaacKing I'll go with "confident they have broken up at all", because it might end up being hard to determine exactly when. Also the market only closes in one month so it's not a huge difference

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