Will a manned mission successfully land on the moon before December 31, 2025?
14
34
แน1.3Kแน270
2026
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves YES if a spacecraft carrying live humans successfully performs a soft landing on the moon before December 31, 2025.
This question resolves NO if the launch, transit, or landing is aborted, or if a catastrophic event results in humans not surviving a landing on the moon.
Get แน200 play money
Related questions
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?
64% chance
Will a human mission successfully land on Mars before the end of 2035?
19% chance
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
17% chance
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
39% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2031?
74% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2029?
49% chance
Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?
63% chance
Will a country other than the United States land a human on the moon before the end of 2031?
59% chance
Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2035?
87% chance