Will a manned mission successfully land on the moon before December 31, 2025?
16
1kṀ25572026
1.4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves YES if a spacecraft carrying live humans successfully performs a soft landing on the moon before December 31, 2025.
This question resolves NO if the launch, transit, or landing is aborted, or if a catastrophic event results in humans not surviving a landing on the moon.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2025?
Will a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
7% chance
Will there be a new human moon landing by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will NASA land a person on the moon before 2026?
1% chance
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
14% chance
Will NASA's Artemis program land astronauts on the moon by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
4% chance
Will NASA have a manned landing on the moon by 2027?
7% chance
Will a human mission successfully land on Mars before the end of 2035?
29% chance
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
13% chance