Will a manned mission successfully land on the moon before December 31, 2025?
17
1kṀ25622026
1.4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves YES if a spacecraft carrying live humans successfully performs a soft landing on the moon before December 31, 2025.
This question resolves NO if the launch, transit, or landing is aborted, or if a catastrophic event results in humans not surviving a landing on the moon.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
4% chance
Will NASA land a person on the moon before 2026?
1% chance
Will there be a new human moon landing by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will NASA have a manned landing on the moon by 2027?
7% chance
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
13% chance
Will a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
7% chance
Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2025?
Will NASA's Artemis program land astronauts on the moon by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will a human mission successfully land on Mars before the end of 2035?
29% chance
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
14% chance