Will the New York Times print their "American Homes Are Getting Younger" article by March 25th?
4
100Ṁ487
resolved Mar 24
100%68%
Similarly misleading title (e.g. American Homes Are Getting Younger)
3%
"A Rejuvenation of Housing Stock" exact title
27%
An article is published, but without a misleading title
1.8%
No article is published

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/20/realestate/american-homes-are-getting-younger.html?unlocked_article_code=1.504.3MhV.fIlSWQQzZmHL&smid=url-share

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Today, the New York Times published an article titled "American Homes Are Getting Younger"... that contains data that actually says the complete opposite:

> In 2013, the typical U.S. home had been built in 1976. By 2023, it had been built in 1980 — meaning the median home age got younger by four years, according to the report.

Some basic subtraction would tell you that actually, the median home age got older by 6 years.

At the bottom of the article in fine print, it says they're going to publish a print article titled "A Rejuvenation of Housing Stock".

This, in my opinion, would be a wild distortion of the data and an extremely misleading headline to print. So, will they? Or will they correct it in time?

Resolves based on data from https://www.nytimes.com/section/todayspaper since I don't subscribe to the paper version.

This a somewhat vibes-based market. I will judge what "misleading" means with my own judgment, and I will not bet on this market. FWIW they base their claim on a PropertyShark report titled "Median Year Built on the Rise as New Construction Reshapes U.S. Housing Stock". I would also called this headline "similarly misleading".

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This seems functionally the same a "Median Year Built on the Rise as New Construction Reshapes U.S. Housing Stock" which I said was "similarly misleading" in the description, so resolving to that outcome.

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Weepinbell Today's Paper page is up for march 23, and they did change the title:

I think this is still misleading? More in the "a rejuvenation of housing stock" way than "american homes are getting younger", but still. I think it could resolve either way though.

sold Ṁ0 YES

@Sketchy

The bottom line on the article still claims they're using the old title, though. I wonder if it is actually that in print (which I don't think should matter based on the resolution criteria?)

Seems like a YES? But I'm confused by the date.

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