Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if either of the following events is officially recorded as occurring between August 19, 2026, and February 28, 2027 (inclusive):
Brandon Aubrey kicks a 65+ yard field goal: Dallas Cowboys placekicker Brandon Aubrey successfully converts a field goal of 65 yards or longer in an official NFL regular season or postseason game. Preseason, Pro Bowl, or other exhibition games do not count. The primary source of truth is the player's official stats on NFL.com or Pro-Football-Reference.
A movie grosses $2.8B+ worldwide: Any movie that has not already surpassed $2.8 billion in lifetime worldwide gross prior to August 19, 2026, officially reaches or exceeds $2,800,000,000 in worldwide box office gross. The film's total gross must be updated and visible on either Box Office Mojo or The Numbers on or before February 28, 2027.
If neither of these conditions is met by 11:59 PM PT on February 28, 2027, the market will resolve to NO.
Background
Brandon Aubrey: The Dallas Cowboys kicker has established himself as one of the most powerful legs in NFL history, hitting a career-long 65-yard field goal in September 2024. He has also attempted field goals from as far out as 70 yards. The all-time NFL record is 66 yards, set by Justin Tucker in 2021.
$2.8B Box Office: Only two films in cinema history have crossed the $2.7 billion milestone: Avatar ($2.92B) and Avengers: Endgame ($2.79B). A primary contender during this market's timeframe is Spider-Man: Brand New Day (released August 2026), which rapidly surpassed $2 billion worldwide in its initial weeks of release.
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1,000