Will the Manifold market "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" be higher than 68% or lower than 28% for the majority of
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Ṁ452026
32%
chance
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1W
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From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if this Manifold market on the COVID origins is either below 28% or above 68% for the majority of the final week of 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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