Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)
39
1kṀ33542049
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves by polling on Jan 1, 2050 whatever superintelligences I think are trustworthy, or polling Manifold or the rationalist community if there are none. I will ask the question in the title and resolve to the majority opinion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
US Congress will release a report concluding COVID most likely came from a LAB LEAK, before April 1
1% chance
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
51% chance
Will we ever know whether COVID-19 came from a lab?
45% chance
When will we know that COVID-19 came from a laboratory? [Unlinked Multiple Choice Derivative of Existing Market]
Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?
21% chance
(When) will we know if COVID came from a laboratory?
2038
Will we ever have any idea (see description) whether COVID-19 came from a lab?
82% chance
When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?
Did HIV come from a laboratory?
8% chance
If Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?