MANIFOLD
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
12
Ṁ5.1kṀ2k
Sep 30
23%
chance



Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.

Metaculus high-level description:
This question will resolve as Yes if the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports that the United States has experienced negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 of 2026, according to the BEA's third estimate for each quarter.

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